daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Sep 29

Boise runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Tue Sep 29

settled · observed 75

whiplash on the tape

86°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		30¢
hres		6¢
icon		2¢
eps		2¢
ndfd		2¢
wn2		1¢
nbm		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260929-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-22T07:59:29+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:39+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape