daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Oct 1

Boise high ≥ 80°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 80

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		88¢
nbm		61¢
ndfd		59¢
hres		56¢
wn2		46¢
rrfs		42¢
icon		34¢
eps		34¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261001-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-27T03:20:03+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:47+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape