daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Oct 1

Boise high ≥ 82°F · Thu Oct 1

settled · observed 80

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 82¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		73¢
ndfd		56¢
nbm		31¢
wn2		24¢
hres		24¢
eps		16¢
rrfs		13¢
icon		12¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261001-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-27T14:40:19+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:48+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape