daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 13

Boise high ≥ 60°F · Tue Oct 13

YES

settled · observed 61

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 9¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		75¢
hres		70¢
eps		62¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		54¢
wn2		42¢
icon		38¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261013-TMAX-GE60 · opened 2026-10-07T04:21:09+00:00 · settled 2026-10-15T13:56:00+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape