daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 13

Boise stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 54°F · Tue Oct 13

settled · observed 61

whiplash on the tape

54°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 54°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		8¢
icon		6¢
hres		6¢
eps		6¢
nbm		2¢
aifs		2¢
ndfd		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261013-TMAX-LE54 · opened 2026-10-09T07:51:46+00:00 · settled 2026-10-15T13:56:04+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape