— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
68¢
icon
47¢
wn2
40¢
eps
40¢
hres
36¢
ndfd
33¢
nbm
33¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F3¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F30¢
78–79°F19¢
80–81°F7¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261017-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape