— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
90¢
aifs
80¢
hres
78¢
wn2
71¢
icon
71¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F6¢
70–71°F14¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F18¢
78–79°F9¢
80–81°F3¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,104 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261018-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-14T15:12:42+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape