daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 20

Boise high ≥ 75°F · Tue Oct 20

58¢

american -138 · decimal 1.73

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		98¢
hrrr		90¢
aifs		86¢
rrfs		85¢
eps		72¢
hres		62¢
ndfd		59¢
wn2		57¢
nbm		56¢
icon		9¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F0¢

72–73°F9¢

74–75°F38¢

76–77°F41¢

78–79°F11¢

80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-20T04:05:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape