— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
96¢
aifs
75¢
wn2
73¢
ndfd
55¢
icon
55¢
nbm
46¢
hres
41¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
50–51°F2¢
52–53°F6¢
54–55°F14¢
56–57°F21¢
58–59°F23¢
60–61°F18¢
62–63°F10¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,463 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.9 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261023-TMAX-GE57 · opened 2026-10-17T04:42:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape