— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
91¢
hres
79¢
aifs
69¢
nbm
57¢
ndfd
53¢
wn2
49¢
eps
45¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
52–53°F1¢
54–55°F2¢
56–57°F5¢
58–59°F9¢
60–61°F15¢
62–63°F18¢
64–65°F18¢
66–67°F15¢
68–69°F9¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,365 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.476 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261025-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-19T04:31:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape