daily prop · Buffalo, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Oct 18

Buffalo high ≥ 59°F · Sun Oct 18

YES

settled · observed 60

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 59°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		97¢
aifs		91¢
nbm		67¢
eps		65¢
hres		60¢
ndfd		59¢
rrfs		51¢
icon		22¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBUF-20261018-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-10-15T04:01:50+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:37:53+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape