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daily prop · Buffalo, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Buffalo high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

55¢
american -122 · decimal 1.82
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1610/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
97¢
aifs
92¢
ndfd
59¢
hrrr
46¢
eps
44¢
rrfs
42¢
nbm
33¢
hres
32¢
icon
30¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F6¢
62–63°F38¢
64–65°F46¢
66–67°F10¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBUF-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-13T15:41:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape