daily prop · Buffalo, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Buffalo high ≥ 64°F · Tue Oct 20

48¢

american +110 · decimal 2.1

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		90¢
aifs		87¢
ndfd		59¢
hrrr		45¢
now		44¢
rrfs		40¢
nbm		33¢
eps		26¢
hres		26¢
icon		19¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F0¢

60–61°F11¢

62–63°F47¢

64–65°F36¢

66–67°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBUF-20261020-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape