— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
83¢
icon
78¢
nbm
67¢
ndfd
53¢
hres
45¢
eps
43¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F2¢
60–61°F6¢
62–63°F15¢
64–65°F23¢
66–67°F24¢
68–69°F17¢
70–71°F9¢
72–73°F3¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,365 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.476 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBUF-20261025-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-19T04:30:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape