daily prop · Baltimore, MD · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Baltimore high ≥ 57°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 61

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 57°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		100¢
icon		100¢
rrfs		99¢
wn2		98¢
hres		96¢
aifs		94¢
ndfd		56¢
nbm		25¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBWI-20261017-TMAX-GE57 · opened 2026-10-12T04:00:58+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:06+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape