daily prop · Baltimore, MD · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Baltimore high ≥ 62°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 61

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 98¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		81¢
icon		60¢
ndfd		53¢
nbm		47¢
wn2		40¢
hres		35¢
aifs		25¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBWI-20261017-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-10T22:26:38+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:07+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape