daily prop · Charleston, SC · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Charleston high ≥ 71°F · Mon Oct 19

settled · observed 70

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 86¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		56¢
aifs		50¢
wn2		43¢
hres		31¢
rrfs		26¢
hrrr		15¢
nbm		13¢
eps		10¢
icon		6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KCHS-20261019-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-15T15:33:52+00:00 · settled 2026-10-20T13:56:21+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape