daily prop · Columbus, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 24

Columbus runs hot-for-here: 75°F+ · Sat Oct 24

5¢

american +1808 · decimal 19.08

on the tape

75°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		35¢
aifs		28¢
icon		12¢
nbm		7¢
hres		4¢
ndfd		3¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F2¢

62–63°F6¢

64–65°F12¢

66–67°F18¢

68–69°F21¢

70–71°F18¢

72–73°F12¢

74–75°F6¢

76–77°F2¢

78–79°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KCMH-20261024-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape