daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Oct 18

Washington stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 58°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 62

whiplash on the tape

58°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 58°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 96¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		49¢
ndfd		41¢
rrfs		35¢
hres		30¢
eps		27¢
nbm		25¢
aifs		7¢
wn2		3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261018-TMAX-LE58 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:08+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:38:33+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape