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daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Washington high ≥ 60°F · Mon Oct 19

94¢
american -1683 · decimal 1.06
★ golden on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1410/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
100¢
aifs
98¢
icon
96¢
hres
92¢
nbm
61¢
ndfd
55¢
eps
50¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F4¢
64–65°F24¢
66–67°F44¢
68–69°F24¢
70–71°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261019-TMAX-GE60 · opened 2026-10-16T15:05:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape