daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Washington runs hot-for-here: 78°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +5248 · decimal 53.48

on the tape

78°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		42¢
aifs		34¢
icon		13¢
hres		6¢
eps		0¢
nbm		0¢
ndfd		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F2¢

68–69°F22¢

70–71°F52¢

72–73°F22¢

74–75°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape