— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
74¢
eps
65¢
aifs
59¢
nbm
55¢
icon
45¢
hres
35¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F9¢
66–67°F22¢
68–69°F30¢
70–71°F23¢
72–73°F10¢
74–75°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KDCA-20261022-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-15T07:48:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape