daily prop · Denver, CO · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Fri Oct 16

Denver high ≥ 62°F · Fri Oct 16

settled · observed 57

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 88¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		56¢
eps		26¢
nbm		18¢
aifs		11¢
hres		10¢
icon		4¢
rrfs		3¢
wn2		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDEN-20261016-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-11T04:30:52+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:49:36+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape