daily prop · Dallas, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Dallas high ≥ 75°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 66

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 94¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		73¢
eps		71¢
ndfd		53¢
nbm		36¢
icon		25¢
aifs		7¢
wn2		3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDFW-20261017-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-11T04:30:50+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:18+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape