— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
56¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
36¢
hres
19¢
icon
15¢
aifs
5¢
wn2
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F3¢
66–67°F8¢
68–69°F18¢
70–71°F25¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F15¢
76–77°F6¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,203 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.873.
Receipts
prop id WP-KDFW-20261018-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-14T03:45:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape