daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Des Moines high ≥ 62°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 60

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		55¢
eps		50¢
nbm		43¢
aifs		40¢
icon		27¢
hres		24¢
wn2		23¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261017-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-13T15:41:31+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:24+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape