daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Des Moines runs hot-for-here: 78°F+ · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 67

on the tape

78°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		13¢
nbm		5¢
eps		4¢
wn2		2¢
aifs		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261018-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:10+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:38:52+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape