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daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Des Moines high ≥ 69°F · Tue Oct 20

61¢
american -156 · decimal 1.64
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
80¢
wn2
79¢
rrfs
78¢
hres
59¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
50¢
nbm
44¢
icon
42¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F17¢
70–71°F46¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261020-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-17T04:41:49+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape