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daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Des Moines high ≥ 71°F · Tue Oct 20

48¢
american +107 · decimal 2.07
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
rrfs
81¢
aifs
77¢
wn2
66¢
ndfd
59¢
now
53¢
hres
42¢
eps
36¢
icon
34¢
hrrr
33¢
nbm
25¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F17¢
70–71°F46¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261020-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape