daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Newark high ≥ 66°F · Mon Oct 19

43¢

american +132 · decimal 2.32

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		80¢
aifs		67¢
ndfd		59¢
hres		38¢
eps		36¢
rrfs		34¢
hrrr		33¢
nbm		25¢
icon		14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F4¢

62–63°F24¢

64–65°F44¢

66–67°F24¢

68–69°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261019-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-14T02:59:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape