daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Newark high ≥ 66°F · Tue Oct 20

81¢

american -428 · decimal 1.23

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		98¢
aifs		94¢
nbm		75¢
icon		64¢
hres		56¢
ndfd		56¢
eps		54¢
rrfs		50¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F4¢

66–67°F28¢

68–69°F46¢

70–71°F19¢

72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261020-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-15T04:01:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape