WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Newark high ≥ 68°F · Tue Oct 20

56¢
american -129 · decimal 1.77
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
89¢
wn2
88¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
41¢
icon
36¢
hres
32¢
eps
32¢
rrfs
29¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F28¢
68–69°F46¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261020-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape