WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Houston high ≥ 77°F · Sat Oct 17

NO
settled · observed 74
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1210/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 94¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
95¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
35¢
hres
11¢
aifs
5¢
icon
4¢
wn2
2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261017-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-12T15:27:37+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:40+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape