— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
92¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
44¢
aifs
33¢
hres
33¢
icon
26¢
wn2
13¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F34¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F9¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,407 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.862.
Receipts
prop id WP-KIAH-20261018-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-15T04:48:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape