WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Houston high ≥ 78°F · Mon Oct 19

72¢
american -261 · decimal 1.38
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1610/19 03:45
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
91¢
rrfs
81¢
nbm
78¢
aifs
75¢
hrrr
67¢
wn2
65¢
hres
64¢
ndfd
56¢
icon
36¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F13¢
78–79°F40¢
80–81°F36¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261019-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-16T04:24:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape