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daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Houston high ≥ 80°F · Mon Oct 19

56¢
american -129 · decimal 1.77
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
75¢
nbm
67¢
rrfs
65¢
wn2
62¢
ndfd
59¢
aifs
57¢
hres
42¢
hrrr
30¢
icon
18¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F13¢
78–79°F40¢
80–81°F36¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261019-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-15T16:20:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape