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daily prop · Wichita, KS · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Wichita high ≥ 68°F · Mon Oct 19

71¢
american -240 · decimal 1.42
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1410/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
88¢
rrfs
81¢
aifs
79¢
nbm
75¢
hrrr
65¢
eps
63¢
hres
60¢
ndfd
59¢
icon
37¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F11¢
68–69°F38¢
70–71°F38¢
72–73°F11¢
74–75°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KICT-20261019-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-18T14:55:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape