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daily prop · Indianapolis, IN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Indianapolis high ≥ 68°F · Mon Oct 19

52¢
american -107 · decimal 1.93
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
83¢
wn2
74¢
hrrr
65¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
59¢
rrfs
58¢
eps
39¢
hres
31¢
icon
10¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F9¢
66–67°F36¢
68–69°F40¢
70–71°F13¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIND-20261019-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape