— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
87¢
icon
84¢
wn2
77¢
ndfd
53¢
hres
51¢
nbm
46¢
eps
38¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F28¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F15¢
82–83°F5¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KJAX-20261022-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-15T11:39:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape