daily prop · Jacksonville, FL · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Jacksonville runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +6189 · decimal 62.89

on the tape

86°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		43¢
aifs		33¢
wn2		20¢
hres		5¢
ndfd		5¢
nbm		3¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F6¢

74–75°F17¢

76–77°F28¢

78–79°F26¢

80–81°F15¢

82–83°F5¢

84–85°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KJAX-20261022-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-16T05:10:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape