— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
43¢
hres
39¢
eps
32¢
ndfd
29¢
nbm
16¢
wn2
9¢
aifs
6¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F8¢
70–71°F17¢
72–73°F24¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F15¢
78–79°F6¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KJAX-20261024-TMAX-LE70 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape