— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
81¢
wn2
80¢
icon
76¢
nbm
63¢
ndfd
53¢
hres
45¢
eps
40¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F3¢
70–71°F8¢
72–73°F16¢
74–75°F22¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F16¢
80–81°F8¢
82–83°F3¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KJAX-20261026-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-20T04:04:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape