daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Las Vegas high ≥ 81°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 76

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		66¢
aifs		63¢
nbm		55¢
wn2		44¢
hres		40¢
eps		22¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261017-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:18+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:16+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape