daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Las Vegas high ≥ 77°F · Sun Oct 18

YES

settled · observed 78

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 3¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		97¢
hres		91¢
hrrr		82¢
aifs		74¢
eps		58¢
ndfd		56¢
wn2		56¢
nbm		46¢
icon		36¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261018-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-17T04:42:39+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:39:35+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape