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daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Las Vegas high ≥ 82°F · Tue Oct 20

41¢
american +147 · decimal 2.47
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
59¢
hres
58¢
rrfs
58¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
48¢
aifs
40¢
wn2
22¢
icon
14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F19¢
82–83°F46¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261020-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape