daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Fri Sep 18

Los Angeles high ≥ 75°F · Fri Sep 18

YES

settled · observed 77

golden 15d out on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop went golden 15.2 days before settlement.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		98¢
aifs		95¢
icon		92¢
eps		74¢
hres		66¢
nbm		58¢
ndfd		55¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20260918-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-14T15:28:47+00:00 · settled 2026-09-19T13:42:00+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape