daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Los Angeles runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit golden 9d out whiplash on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop went golden 9.0 days before settlement; traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		100¢
hrrr		100¢
rrfs		99¢
aifs		98¢
wn2		98¢
icon		93¢
hres		92¢
nbm		90¢
eps		63¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261017-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:10+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:20+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape