daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Los Angeles high ≥ 91°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 90

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 91°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		68¢
ndfd		59¢
hrrr		59¢
hres		40¢
icon		40¢
wn2		35¢
rrfs		35¢
nbm		30¢
eps		12¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261017-TMAX-GE91 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:10+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:24+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape