— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
17¢
nbm
15¢
icon
12¢
ndfd
10¢
eps
3¢
rrfs
3¢
wn2
0¢
aifs
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F6¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F25¢
76–77°F18¢
78–79°F8¢
80–81°F3¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261021-TMAX-LE66 · opened 2026-10-17T07:45:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape