— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
27¢
ndfd
16¢
eps
14¢
nbm
9¢
wn2
4¢
aifs
3¢
icon
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F5¢
68–69°F13¢
70–71°F22¢
72–73°F25¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F10¢
78–79°F3¢
80–81°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,312 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.165 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261023-TMAX-LE66 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape